And the winner is Oscars

Oscar Predictions 2015: And the winner will be...

For many years, I reveled in the thrill of making Oscar predictions. I was good at it. But in the past three years, I’ve been wrong twice.

In 2012, I came up with what I still think is the magic bullet for winning the Oscar in the documentary category: move audiences with an uplifting narrative. I came to that thanks to the win by Undefeated, a solid, but far from remarkable or deeply revealing documentary. The following year, Searching for Sugar Man won, which helped support the theory. And then came last year, when I got all worked up and didn’t listen to my head — and did not predict the obvious, heartwarming, uplifting narrative, 20 Feet from Stardom. Sure enough, Stardom won.

So, this year has me crazy. Everyone and their mother are saying that Citizenfour is going to win. Every Oscar prognosticating “expert” has picked it. And I would, too, except for one nagging fact: it contradicts my Undefeated theory of being the most uplifting tale in the bunch. I think that description best applies to Virunga, the thrilling story of the national park rangers who risk their lives for mother earth and the last wild population of mountain gorillas. Although the situation is dire, there are real heroes! Real hope for saving the earth!

The other nominees don’t seem likely (Last Days in Vietnam is a downer; Finding Vivian Maier is too thin; Salt of the Earth is too remote) so we are left with these two.

Could everyone be wrong? Could Virunga, which has also had the benefit of a strong marketing campaign backed by distributor Netflix and supported by everyone from Bill Clinton to Executive Producer Leonardo Dicaprio, win the gold?

Citizenfour is grim. It’s the story of a guy paying the price for going against the national surveillance complex and ending up in exile in Russia. It is complex and ends without easy answers. And it is the story of the loss of promise, and resonates with disappointment in President Barack Obama. Is that what Oscar voters are going to turn to? Are they that angry with Obama that they’d turn away from Virunga, which is such a well-told yarn?

Citizenfour won the Director’s Guild award, the BAFTA for best film, and Director Laura Poitras already has one Oscar nomination, so voters are familiar with her work, and may feel like she’s due. Plus, she crushed it at the Cinema Eye Honors, so she has advocates in many corners.

I do think that the North Korea-hacking leak incident that rocked Sony due to The Interview comes into play here. Hollywood types were riled up about information being disseminated. It might be intuitive to assume that they are upset and therefore may turn on a whistleblower like Edward Snowden, the subject of Citizenfour, but I think the contrary. I think, if anything, it’s gotten them more invested in the story — many must have enjoyed seeing Amy Pascal go down — and so they’ll care more about the film.

Am I really so foolish to, two-years-in-a-row, go against my theory? I hate to follow the crowd, and I wish I had the bravery to stand alone, but I think it’s the right move in this case. There are exceptions to every rule, and in this case, the more message-heavy film, Citizenfour — even without the Hollywood uplift — will win.

Tips on how show 21 year old he is adult what does repose mean How to bleach your tips at home How to get hair to grow faster what are my computer specs What cut of meat is tri tips from How to start an iv? what does cervical cancer look like How to make potato chips? How long to cook salmon on stove what are the best earbuds How to teach a dog to sit How to ask a guy out What is the best scooter for an 8 year old for tricks what does owo mean bachelorette How long does plastic take to decompose What programs does linus tech tips use How long does it take to get tsa precheck How to beat cliff march 2021 How to get free credit report How to get rid of "helpfull" tips on windows 10 How to play fantasy football How to calculate relative risk? what are my love languages How to let go of someone? what does amethyst do How to eat a persimmon what your dreams mean Tips and tricks when chartering a boat How to use digital pen pad for computer tricks How to crack an egg? what are signs of covid Tips on how to teach homeschoolers how to read what does 110 mean Alaska cruise tips which cruise line is best what does the name louise mean what companies does coca cola own How to replace airpod pro tips How to do web swinging tricks on spiderman ps4 How to do dremel editing on glass fancy tricks How to make mug cake? How to do tricks in team sonic racing "handheld" what time does congress certify the election what does nauseous mean How to make candy tips what does vlookup do How to buy land with no money? Why r the wing tips different on passenger jets what does it mean when you have yellow discharge Proffensional tips on how to care for axolotls Why do facial hair scissors have the little knobs on the tips How i write an ebook in 1 day with no fancy tools or tricks free How to resize a pdf? How to get a job at interview tips/d/ what time does the cubs play today How to get insta followers? what does gradually mean How to do tricks in pipe How to make tuna salad? what are social institutions what does arson mean How to find percentage increase? Nurses tips how to prepare for shift at rcf what are angels supposed to look like What are dnd tricks what does upside down pineapple mean How married life happy tips How to clean a cast iron skillet How much r carbide tips How much tips should i give for pizza delivery what does cervical mean what does a toner do How to decorate a bathroom? How to hide a dead body? How tips cue what does several mean what does something in the orange mean Tips how to make a good startup pitch What are some good dieting tips what are consonants How to cancel order on ebay How long does nyquil take to work what are clouds made of Steep tricks how to How to make a gamepass on roblox? Newly grouted shower tile how to cleaning tips what does commenced mean How to create vertical lettering with alpha tricks software How to take screenshot on laptop what does the number 11 mean what does carpool mean what does hmo stand for How to figure out square feet How to contour your face? How to get sick Tricks when cubing numbers What tips are included on norwegian what does volume mean in math what are tonight's powerball numbers How to build a fire? How to switch from android to iphone? How to use sports promotional items, tips How to make your period lighter what does it all mean basil what does zodiac mean How to turn off an apple watch How to take multiple choice tests tricks what does armistice mean How many miles to walk to lose weight? Tips on where to keep vinyl How to open bin file what does ect power mean what does itis mean what are some options animals have if they are unable to migrate? How to braid hair what does nth mean what are ms symptoms what is a domestic partnership mean
You might also like
[Headcaster] # Oscars And the winner is
[Headcaster] # Oscars And the winner is...
TOR DES GEANTS | And the winner isOscar Perèz!
TOR DES GEANTS | And the winner is...Oscar Perèz!
Road to Perdition
Single Detail Page Misc ()
  • Road to Perdition
  • Tom Hanks
  • Paul Newman
  • Jude Law
  • Jennifer Jason Leigh
And the Winner is: Die (G)Oscar-Verleihung - SPIELTGOLF
And the Winner is: Die (G)Oscar-Verleihung - SPIELTGOLF ...
Movie Park Germany Bottrop And the winner is Oscar Show
Movie Park Germany Bottrop And the winner is... Oscar Show ...
Related Posts