Oscar nominees 2014 Best Picture

2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

12 Years A SlaveSun Feb 23 10:50:00 EST 2014

"American Hustle, " "Gravity, " and "12 Years A Slave" face off in the competitive Best Picture race.

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Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are announced.

"Gravity" vs. "12 Years a Slave"? That certainly seemed like the narrative we were heading into for quite some time, which would have shared commonalities with the "Avatar" vs. "The Hurt Locker, " "Hugo" vs. "The Artist" and "Life of Pi" vs. "Argo" showdowns that met the last three years (an expensive, 3D critical and commercial hit versus a smaller film tackling history in one way or another)... History won all three times, but this year is clearly closer than ever. The two films historically tied for the PGA top honors, which just goes to show how tight this is. Add in "American Hustle, " which has received a ton of love from the precursors too, and we got ourselves a bonafide three-way race. Unless something truly shocking happens, one of these three films is winning best picture, and we've been going back and forth between "12 Years" and "Gravity" as my pick... I've finally landed on the former, but frankly am just excited to be this uncertain so late in the race.

“American Hustle” Charles Roven, Richard Suckle, Megan Ellison and Jonathan Gordon, Producers
“Captain Phillips” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti and Michael De Luca, Producers
“Dallas Buyers Club” Robbie Brenner and Rachel Winter, Producers
“Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón and David Heyman, Producers
“Her” Megan Ellison, Spike Jonze and Vincent Landay, Producers
“Nebraska” Albert Berger and Ron Yerxa, Producers
“Philomena” Gabrielle Tana, Steve Coogan and Tracey Seaward, Producers
“12 Years a Slave” Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Steve McQueen and Anthony Katagas, Producers
“The Wolf of Wall Street” Nominees to be determined

Will win: "12 Years a Slave"
Could win: "Gravity"
Should win: "Her" (though "12 Years" or "Gravity" would suit me just fine).

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