Oscars Leading Actress

2016 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress

Much of the early news surrounding the best actress race centered on where Oscar voters would place Rooney Mara ("Carol") and Alicia Vikander ("The Danish Girl") on their ballots. The pair were both nominated for supporting actress at the SAGs and Critics Choice, and both as lead at the Golden Globes. Now that nominations have been announced, we know that both have been regulated to the category for which they campaigned, which left the door open for Charlotte Rampling ("45 Years") and Jennifer Lawrence ("Joy") to make the cut.

Regardless, the best actress race seems pretty much like a head-to-head battle between Brie Larson ("Room") and Saoirse Ronan ("Brooklyn"). Both actresses are rising stars that give two of the year's most resonant performances. Larson won the Globes, though she's certainly not as big of a frontrunner as Julianne Moore and Blanchett have been in the past.

Below is Anne Thompson's take on how things might shake down in the race for best actress. Check out Thompson on Hollywood's Oscar predictions page for more awards season analysis. Click here for more category breakdowns on Indiewire.

Nominees:

Cate Blanchett ("Carol")

Brie Larson ("Room")

Jennifer Lawrence ("Joy")

Charlotte Rampling ("45 Years")

Saoirse Ronan ("Brooklyn")

Predicted Winner: Brie Larson

Potential Spoilers: Saorise Ronan

WINNER: Brie Larson

For more insight into the 2016 awards season, visit the Indiewire Awards Season Spotlight homepage here

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